AI & Tech·0xabc123·EXP Jul 31
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?
67.0%
-2.1%
VOL$11.45M
LIQ$413K
SPR0.002
WIDE SPREAD
FEED
Discovery
POLYMARKET6/6
Politics·0xjkl321·EXP Dec 15
Will the US Federal Reserve cut rates at least twice in 2026?
78.0%
+0.8%
VOL$4.22M
LIQ$184K
SPR0.003
HIGH VOLUME
Crypto·0xdef456·EXP Dec 31
Will Bitcoin exceed $150,000 by end of 2026?
50.5%
+1.3%
VOL$1.84M
LIQ$47K
SPR0.008
LOW LIQUIDITYEXPIRES SOON
Science·0xmno654·EXP Sep 1
Will SpaceX Starship reach orbital insertion before September 2026?
61.0%
-1.2%
VOL$921K
LIQ$78K
SPR0.005
EXPIRES SOON
AI & Tech·0xghi789·EXP Oct 1
Will Anthropic Claude surpass GPT in Chatbot Arena before Q4 2026?
42.0%
-3.4%
VOL$740K
LIQ$21K
SPR0.004
LOW LIQUIDITYAMBIGUOUS RULES
AI & Tech·0xpqr987·EXP Dec 31
Will an AI system pass a Tier-1 Math Olympiad in 2026?
29.0%
+2.7%
VOL$313K
LIQ$14K
SPR0.011
LOW LIQUIDITYWIDE SPREAD
ANALYSISAI & TechRESEARCH MEMO
Polymarket ACTIVE0xabc123·AI & Tech
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 2026?
WIDE SPREAD
YES67.0%
NO33.0%
0255075100
VOLUME
$11,446,491
LIQUIDITY
$413,388
SPREAD
0.002
24H CHG
-2.1%
EXPIRES
Jul 31
CATEGORY
AI & Tech
PRE-ANALYSIS
Risk Assessment
Resolution Risk
LOW
Resolution source is on the trusted list.
22
Liquidity Risk
LOW
Deep book — slippage on typical orders is negligible.
22
Hallucination Risk
LOW
Sufficient evidence found from primary sources.
22